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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.86% ( 0.12) | 28.38% ( 0.06) | 28.76% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 44.92% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.02% ( -0.27) | 60.98% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.02% ( -0.2) | 80.98% ( 0.21) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.8% ( -0.06) | 28.2% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -0.09) | 63.89% ( 0.09) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( -0.29) | 37.44% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% ( -0.29) | 74.22% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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