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Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Swindon Town

Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon

Hoskins (90')
Bowie (82'), Hoskins (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shade (26'), Lavinier (56')
Iandolo (45+2'), Shade (80'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Swindon Town

 Northampton Town and Swindon have enjoyed a solid first half of the season and will be looking to close out the year on a high. However, the Cobblers head into the midweek match as the more in-form side and we are backing them to maintain their impressive run by claiming a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
39.55% (-0.389 -0.39) 27.23% (0.101 0.1) 33.22% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.334 -0.33)55.57% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.271 -0.27)76.74% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.375 -0.38)27.45% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.486 -0.49)62.94% (0.485 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.54%
    Swindon Town 33.22%
    Draw 27.23%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Northampton vs Swindon

Northampton Town
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Swindon Town
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Northampton
Williams (61')
Reed (57')
Fox (68'), Pinnock (88')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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