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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Southend United |
| 43.57% | 25.84% | 30.6% |
| Both teams to score 53.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.67% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% | 23.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% | 57.09% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% | 30.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% | 66.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.6% |
