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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Newport County

Colchester
2 - 1
Newport

Iandolo (75'), Mingi (90+2')
McGeehan (67'), Tovide (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zanzala (42')
Payne (67'), Waite (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-1 Newport County

 With two porous defences going head-to-head, we expect neither of the teams to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we also fancy the home side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
41.17% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 25.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.51% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.96% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)27.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)62.59% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 41.17%
    Newport County 33.51%
    Draw 25.31%
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Colchester vs Newport

Colchester United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
2-1
Colchester
Evans (43'), Bogle (63')
Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41')
Tovide (34')
Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Newport
2-0
Colchester
O'Hara (28' og.), Lewis (76')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
1-0
Colchester
Evans (7')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Newport
1-2
Colchester
Telford (40')
Dolan (38'), Lewis (45+2'), Bennett (72')
Akinde (68'), Chilvers (77')
Wiredu (45+2'), Huws (66'), Skuse (89'), George (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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