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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Thomson (49')
Abu (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hume (79'), Artell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Despite Harrogate's inability to win three home games on the trot in two years, that could change against the club with the division's worst road record. Having also defeated the Mariners in four of the last five meetings, including the 2-1 triumph in the reverse fixture on December 23, the home support should expect another positive outcome against the strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
39.52% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 24.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 35.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.137 -0.14)45.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.132 -0.13)67.81% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22.87% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.61% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.13 -0.13)24.99% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.178 -0.18)59.64% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 39.52%
    Grimsby Town 35.54%
    Draw 24.93%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.54%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Grimsby Town

Harrogate Town
61.1%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')
Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
0-0
Harrogate
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Harrogate
3-2
Grimsby Town
Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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