League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 1Sutton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Carlisle United 2-1 Sutton United
Despite Carlisle heading into this fixture 10 points clear of their opponents, we expect a closely-fought affair in Cumbria on Saturday. However, Simpson is building something special during his second spell there, and his side should just edge past Sutton. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Sutton United |
43.86% ( 0.16) | 27.41% ( -0.07) | 28.73% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
