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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Gillingham |
45.85% ( -0.01) | 26.6% ( 0) | 27.56% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.8% ( -0) | 55.2% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% ( -0) | 76.44% ( 0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.01) | 24.02% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.01) | 58.29% ( 0) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.72% ( 0) | 35.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% ( 0) | 72.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |