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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Gillingham

Crawley
0 - 0
Gillingham

FT

Ehmer (18'), Gbode (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Gillingham

Crawley have been in good form since Young replaced Betsy in their managerial dugout last month, and we can envisage their winning home run continuing on Tuesday. Gillingham have lost four league matches in a row without scoring in any of them, and while the latter could end against the division's second weakest defence, the former streak may continue a little longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
45.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.44% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.84%
    Gillingham 27.56%
    Draw 26.59%
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Crawley vs Gillingham

Crawley Town
74.3%
Draw
8.6%
Gillingham
17.1%
35
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (21' pen.)
Edwards (29'), Walsh (51'), Tomlin (58'), McLeod (65')
McGlashan (68'), Loft (87')
Dickenson (78')
Martin (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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