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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | 1st Leg
May 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crewe
0 - 2
Doncaster


Demetriou (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Molyneux (34'), Biggins (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Doncaster Rovers

 Although both teams finished level on points, Doncaster will have momentum on their side after winning 10 of their previous 11 matches, and we think that they will claim another victory when they face a Crewe side that has lost each of their last three home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
29.96% (0.322 0.32) 24.19% (0.286 0.29) 45.84% (-0.607 -0.61)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.8 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-1.141 -1.14)43.89% (1.142 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-1.126 -1.13)66.28% (1.127 1.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.357 -0.36)27.64% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.463 -0.46)63.18% (0.464 0.46)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)19.3% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-1.173 -1.17)51.06% (1.174 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 29.96%
    Doncaster Rovers 45.84%
    Draw 24.19%
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.96%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.262 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Crewe vs Doncaster

Crewe Alexandra
22.2%
Draw
9.3%
Doncaster Rovers
68.5%
54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Adelakun (17'), Rowe (58')

Rowe (37'), Adebisi (43'), Cooney (54'), Williams (65')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
3-2
Doncaster
Offord (29'), O'Riordan (44', 90+2')
Thomas (90')
Faal (16'), Ironside (57')
Maxwell (19'), Anderson (37')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Doncaster
0-2
Crewe
Baker-Richardson (31'), O'Riordan (37')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-1
Doncaster
Baker-Richardson (14')
Miller (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Rowe (10'), Martin (47')
Rowe (60')

Mandron (60'), Long (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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