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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
48.92% ( 0.02) | 23.64% ( -0) | 27.44% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.05% ( 0.01) | 42.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( 0.01) | 65.35% ( -0.01) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% ( 0.01) | 17.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% ( 0.02) | 48.36% ( -0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( -0) | 28.92% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% ( -0.01) | 64.8% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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