Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.