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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
36.44% ( -0.82) | 26.09% ( 0.02) | 37.46% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( -0.07) | 50.57% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( -0.06) | 72.49% ( 0.06) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0.5) | 26.86% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.66) | 62.17% ( 0.66) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( 0.42) | 26.28% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( 0.56) | 61.4% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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