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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
39.3% ( -0.05) | 26.8% ( -0.01) | 33.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 0.07) | 53.77% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% ( 0.06) | 75.25% ( -0.05) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( 0) | 62.02% ( 0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.08) | 29.97% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.1) | 66.09% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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