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Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Crawley Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Dieng (31', 44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Crawley Town

Exeter are currently in imperious form, and we think that they will pick up all three points on Tuesday when they face a Crawley side that are low on confidence after losing their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
59.6%22.73%17.67%
Both teams to score 48.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08%49.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1%71.9%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99%46.01%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04%41.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6%78.4%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 59.59%
    Crawley Town 17.67%
    Draw 22.72%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.89%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.11%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.67%

How you voted: Exeter vs Crawley

Exeter City
82.4%
Draw
17.6%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-3
Exeter
Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Feb 27, 2021 1pm
Crawley
2-0
Exeter
Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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