Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.