Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.