Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.