Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.