Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.