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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
29.06% ( -0.02) | 25.32% ( -0) | 45.61% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.68% ( 0.01) | 49.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( 0.01) | 71.36% ( -0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0.01) | 31.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( -0.02) | 67.33% ( 0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.37% ( 0.01) | 21.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.26% ( 0.02) | 54.73% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |