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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Young (6'), Miller (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Both teams are in good form, and it is difficult to pick a winner based on their showings in recent weeks. It would not be surprising if MK Dons and Cheltenham each produced a number of chances over the course of the game, but ultimately shared the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
44.86% (-0.553 -0.55) 24.18% (-0.023 -0.02) 30.96% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.98% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.389 0.39)43.35% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.38 0.38)65.75% (-0.378 -0.38)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.127 -0.13)51.38% (0.128 0.13)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (0.56800000000001 0.57)26.73% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (0.743 0.74)61.99% (-0.742 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.86%
    Cheltenham Town 30.96%
    Draw 24.18%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cheltenham Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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