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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
Bradford City

Harrogate
3 - 0
Bradford

March (21'), Thomson (73' pen.), Oyegoke (79' og.)
Dooley (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Bradford City

With both teams not in form, this match is difficult to predict, but each side can throw caution to the wind with relegation not a concern. Given that Bradford have lost three games in succession, we are giving the nod to Harrogate, albeit in a hard-fought fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawBradford City
23.33% (0.029 0.03) 23.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 53.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.69% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)33.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.049000000000003 0.05)69.74% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.55%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.33%
    Bradford City 53.45%
    Draw 23.21%
Harrogate TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.33%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Bradford

Harrogate Town
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Bradford City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bradford
1-1
Harrogate
Walker (90+5')
Daly (78')
Odoh (33'), Oxley (90+2')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Harrogate
1-2
Bradford
Headley (47')
Cook (15' pen.), Wright (73')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Bradford
1-3
Harrogate
Foulds (12')
O'Connor (55')
Burrell (45+5'), Page (62'), Diamond (90')
Armstrong (55'), Thomson (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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