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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
52.21% ( 0.28) | 22.88% ( -0.09) | 24.91% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% ( 0.27) | 41.6% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% ( 0.27) | 64% ( -0.27) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.01% ( 0.2) | 15.99% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( 0.36) | 45.31% ( -0.35) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% | 30.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.72% ( -0) | 66.28% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.21% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |