Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.