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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Harrogate Town

Swindon
1 - 1
Harrogate

Austin (85')
Devoy (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Connor (52')
Cornelius (54')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town
52.21% (0.28 0.28) 22.88% (-0.093 -0.09) 24.91% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.69% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.269 0.27)41.6% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.27 0.27)64% (-0.266 -0.27)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.19800000000001 0.2)15.99% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.35599999999999 0.36)45.31% (-0.351 -0.35)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87%30.13% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.28% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.21%
    Harrogate Town 24.91%
    Draw 22.87%
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.21%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 24.91%

Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Harrogate
1-1
Swindon
Muldoon (65')
Dooley (82')
Young (25')
Kinsella (27'), Kokolo (81')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
3-0
Harrogate
Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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