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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Notts County |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 23.52% ( -0) | 34.14% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.69% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.95% ( 0) | 39.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.63% ( 0.01) | 61.37% ( -0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( 0) | 18.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.74% ( 0.01) | 50.25% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0) | 22.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0) | 56.46% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |