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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Salford City had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Salford City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Salford City |
55.93% ( -0.02) | 22.78% ( 0.01) | 21.29% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.89% ( -0.02) | 45.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.54% ( -0.02) | 67.46% ( 0.02) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.02) | 15.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% ( -0.03) | 45.24% ( 0.02) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% ( -0.01) | 35.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% ( -0.01) | 72.01% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.47% 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |