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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Mansfield Town

Carlisle
0 - 4
Mansfield


Gordon (43'), Garner (58'), Harris (70')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Clarke (14'), Kilgour (25'), Akins (29' pen.), Hewitt (38')
Harbottle (55')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMansfield Town
38.32% (-1.919 -1.92) 27.54% (0.431 0.43) 34.14% (1.487 1.49)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-1.401 -1.4)56.62% (1.398 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-1.138 -1.14)77.59% (1.138 1.14)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-1.749 -1.75)28.65% (1.748 1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (-2.241 -2.24)64.47% (2.241 2.24)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.285 0.28)31.24% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (0.329 0.33)67.58% (-0.33 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.31%
    Mansfield Town 34.14%
    Draw 27.53%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.62 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.407 0.41)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.14%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Mansfield

Carlisle United
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Mansfield Town
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Mansfield
Patrick (56')
Armer (68'), Simeu (79'), Patrick (89'), Dickenson (90+3')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
1-0
Mansfield
Patrick (39')
Hayden (26'), Bennett (65'), Mellish (68'), Farman (69'), Riley (88')

Clarke (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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