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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
28.61% ( -0.01) | 25.39% ( -0) | 46% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.13% ( -0.01) | 49.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% ( -0.01) | 71.86% ( 0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( -0.01) | 31.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.94% ( -0.01) | 68.06% ( 0.01) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.32% ( -0) | 21.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.18% ( -0) | 54.82% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |