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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Notts County |
28.23% ( -0.12) | 23.32% ( 0.02) | 48.44% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.23% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.06% ( -0.17) | 40.93% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.67% ( -0.18) | 63.32% ( 0.17) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% ( -0.17) | 27.33% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% ( -0.22) | 62.78% ( 0.22) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% ( -0.03) | 17.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.66% ( -0.05) | 47.33% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 48.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |