MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 00:32:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Notts County

MK Dons
1 - 1
Notts County

Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cameron (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Notts County

As the only team in the division to have won their last three league matches, the momentum is very much with the visitors ahead of this contest. However, their respective records suggest that this could be a back-and-forth goalfest, one which may end in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNotts County
28.23% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.32% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 48.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.172 -0.17)40.93% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.176 -0.18)63.32% (0.175 0.17)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.17 -0.17)27.33% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.22 -0.22)62.78% (0.219 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)17.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 28.23%
    Notts County 48.44%
    Draw 23.32%
MK DonsDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 48.44%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Notts County

MK Dons
32.7%
Draw
44.2%
Notts County
23.1%
52
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Notts County
1-3
MK Dons
Sheehan (70' pen.)
Grealish (60'), Smith (78')
Alli (3', 55', 90')
McLeod (12'), Alli (17'), Smith (42'), Baldock (60'), Gleeson (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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