MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:39:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Notts County

MK Dons
1 - 1
Notts County

Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cameron (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Notts County

As the only team in the division to have won their last three league matches, the momentum is very much with the visitors ahead of this contest. However, their respective records suggest that this could be a back-and-forth goalfest, one which may end in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNotts County
28.23% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.32% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 48.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.172 -0.17)40.93% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.176 -0.18)63.32% (0.175 0.17)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.17 -0.17)27.33% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.22 -0.22)62.78% (0.219 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)17.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 28.23%
    Notts County 48.44%
    Draw 23.32%
MK DonsDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 48.44%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Notts County

MK Dons
32.7%
Draw
44.2%
Notts County
23.1%
52
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Notts County
1-3
MK Dons
Sheehan (70' pen.)
Grealish (60'), Smith (78')
Alli (3', 55', 90')
McLeod (12'), Alli (17'), Smith (42'), Baldock (60'), Gleeson (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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