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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Notts County

Sutton
5 - 1
Notts County

Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Millwall
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Notts County

 Notts County racked up an incredible 107 points in the National League last season, and fifth-tier sides have a history of adapting well to life in League Two, with the likes of Tranmere Rovers and Bristol Rovers achieving back-to-back promotions in recent years. Williams has also strengthened his squad considerably with some high-profile signings, so we expect them to get their season off to the perfect start against a Sutton United side that was very poor at the back end of the previous season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawNotts County
20.68% (-3.184 -3.18) 22.32% (0.159 0.16) 57% (3.026 3.03)
Both teams to score 55% (-4.994 -4.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-4.561 -4.56)43.89% (4.564 4.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-4.61 -4.61)66.28% (4.614 4.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-5.412 -5.41)35.16% (5.415 5.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-6.097 -6.1)71.91% (6.099 6.1)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.574 -0.57)15.18% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-1.098 -1.1)43.79% (1.101 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 20.68%
    Notts County 57%
    Draw 22.31%
Sutton UnitedDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.646 -0.65)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.567 -0.57)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.583 -0.58)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.68%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.994 0.99)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.728 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.398 -0.4)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 10.06% (1.703 1.7)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.49% (1.445 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.96% (0.804 0.8)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-4 @ 2.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.81% (0.329 0.33)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57%

How you voted: Sutton vs Notts County

Sutton United
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Notts County
75.0%
16
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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