EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
MK Dons4 - 1Chelsea U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Chelsea Under-21s.
The Match
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with AFC Wimbledon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Norwich U21s 3-2 Chelsea U21s
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
44.23% ( 1.15) | 23.27% ( -0.03) | 32.5% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
