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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 28.31% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.58%).
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Notts County |
48.51% ( -0.17) | 23.18% ( 0.03) | 28.31% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.81% ( -0.03) | 40.19% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.44% ( -0.03) | 62.56% ( 0.03) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.08) | 16.81% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% ( -0.13) | 46.78% ( 0.13) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 0.08) | 26.89% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 0.11) | 62.21% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.21% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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