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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newport County win it was 2-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
21.81% ( 0.07) | 22.55% ( -0) | 55.64% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% ( 0.09) | 43.51% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% ( 0.09) | 65.9% ( -0.09) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% ( 0.12) | 33.86% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% ( 0.13) | 70.53% ( -0.13) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( 0.01) | 15.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% ( 0.01) | 44.39% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.81% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 55.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |