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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.28% ( -0.58) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 42.69% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( -0.57) | 41.71% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( -0.58) | 64.11% ( 0.59) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( -0.6) | 24.51% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% ( -0.86) | 58.97% ( 0.86) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( -0.01) | 19.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( -0.02) | 51.81% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 42.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |