MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 19:53:45| >> :60:1107:1107:
MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk
Leyton Orient

MK Dons
1 - 3
Leyton Orient

Hendry (33')
Hendry (23'), Lindsey (24'), Lewington (38'), Wood (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kelman (6'), Perkins (21'), Agyei (90+3')
James (25'), Obiero (45'), Happe (49'), Cooper (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between MK Dons and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Leyton Orient

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Leyton Orient (Leyton Orient win on penalties)

 With MK Dons flying high in League Two and Leyton Orient at risk of demotion from League One, Tuesday's encounter is a difficult game to call, especially with both sides also on cloud nine from dominant wins at the weekend. The bonus-point penalty shootout may be required to determine the victor, and Wellens's men have our vote to come up trumps from 12 yards, although that may only be a consolation victory in the grand scheme of things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawLeyton Orient
37.31% (2.426 2.43) 24.98% (-0.044 -0.04) 37.7% (-2.384 -2.38)
Both teams to score 57.83% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.422 0.42)45.57% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.401 0.4)67.9% (-0.402 -0.4)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (1.549 1.55)24.06% (-1.549 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (2.157 2.16)58.33% (-2.157 -2.16)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-1.036 -1.04)23.85% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (-1.507 -1.51)58.03% (1.506 1.51)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.31%
    Leyton Orient 37.7%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawLeyton Orient
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.336 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.402 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.326 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.303 0.3)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.484 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Leyton Orient

MK Dons
51.6%
Draw
23.4%
Leyton Orient
25.0%
64
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Leyton Orient
0-0
MK Dons
(Aggregate 0-0 | MK Dons win 5-4 on penalties)
Thompson (3')
Parrott (90+1')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
MK Dons
2-1
Leyton Orient
Baudry (90' og.), Baker (92')
Upson (36')
Lewington (36' og.)
Pritchard (65'), Baudry (69')
> Match Report
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
6-1
Leyton Orient
Bowditch (22'), Hall (24', 37', 59'), Grigg (29' pen.), Alli (81')
Lewington (67')
Simpson (69')
James (70'), Baudry (86')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
Leyton Orient
0-0
MK Dons
Clarke (86'), Baudry (87')
Baudry (89')
Randall (61'), Kay (76'), Afobe (92'), Grigg (93')
> Match Report
May 3, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
1-3
Leyton Orient
Hall (78')
Lisbie (17', 45'), Mooney (57')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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