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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Newport County

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Newport

McAtee (36')
Waterfall (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Newport County

Seven of Grimsby's 15 home games at Blundell Park have finished in stalemates, with their games against Harrogate Town and Leyton Orient ending goalless and 2-2, respectively, while Newport played out to draws in five of their last 10 games on the road. A tie with both teams finding the back of the net appears to be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
38.3% (1.7 1.7) 28.13% (-0.232 -0.23) 33.57% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 47.2% (0.52 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (0.714 0.71)58.9% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.55 0.55)79.39% (-0.55 -0.55)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (1.397 1.4)29.78% (-1.396 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (1.659 1.66)65.85% (-1.659 -1.66)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.60799999999999 -0.61)32.78% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.685 -0.69)69.34% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 38.29%
    Newport County 33.56%
    Draw 28.13%
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.378 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Newport

Grimsby Town
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Newport County
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Newport

Hendrie (24'), Taylor (52'), Waterfall (66')
Twine (25'), Amond (45+1' pen.)
Willmott (50')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
4-2
Newport
Garmston (1'), Benson (40'), Hanson (61'), Wright (84')
Hanson (29')
Green (10'), Amond (68')
Inniss (39'), Labadie (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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