MX23RW : Monday, January 13 18:25:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Newport County

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Newport

Chislett (58')
Hudlin (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zanzala (70' pen.)
Zanzala (9'), Demetriou (66'), Lewis (68'), Moriah-Welsh (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Newport County

It is never really clear which Newport County side are going to turn up, given their inconsistent form in League Two this season, so it would not be a surprise if they managed to emerge victorious on Boxing Day. However, the most likely result is a comprehensive win for AFC Wimbledon, given their recent uptick in form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewport County
39.04% (0.202 0.2) 27.5% (-0.073 -0.07) 33.47% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43% (0.265 0.27)56.58% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (0.214 0.21)77.56% (-0.211 -0.21)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.242 0.24)28.22% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (0.305 0.31)63.92% (-0.303 -0.3)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (0.053999999999988 0.05)31.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.060000000000002 0.06)68.08% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 39.03%
    Newport County 33.46%
    Draw 27.5%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.46%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Newport

AFC Wimbledon
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 7, 2016 3pm
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Newport
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Yakubu (18'), Pigott (46', 65'), O'Connor (91')
Sandell (24'), Willmott (54'), Pigott (87')
Akinfenwa (70')
Barrett (8'), Bennett (73'), Akinfenwa (93')
Apr 18, 2014 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Newport
Appiah (49'), Francomb (69')
Zebroski (15'), Flynn (47' pen.)
Minshull (48'), Feely (66'), Sandell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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