Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
