MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:44:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Morecambe

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Massey (40')
Conlon (32'), Benning (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melbourne (68'), Love (85'), Rawson (86'), Gibson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe

Port Vale may have lost their last two games, but they have won their previous two home matches, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory when they face a Morecambe side, who have failed to win any of their last 10 games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
61.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 23.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.07% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (0.004999999999999 0)76.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)17.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)48.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.11% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)83.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 61.32%
    Morecambe 15.47%
    Draw 23.19%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 14.64%
2-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 61.32%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.47%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Morecambe

Port Vale
Draw
Morecambe
Port Vale
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Morecambe
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-1
Port Vale
Old (6'), Stockton (12')
Kenyon (76')
Gibbons (71')
Legge (28')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
3-1
Morecambe
Joyce (49'), Pope (68', 90')
Crookes (73')
O'Sullivan (18')
Brewitt (45'), Alessandra (48'), Lavelle (76')
Cranston (32')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!