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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 27.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
27.77% ( 4.41) | 25.9% ( 1.79) | 46.32% ( -6.21) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( -1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% ( -3.89) | 52.41% ( 3.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% ( -3.44) | 74.09% ( 3.44) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( 1.61) | 33.62% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% ( 1.71) | 70.26% ( -1.72) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -4.16) | 22.6% ( 4.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -6.6) | 56.21% ( 6.6) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.28% ( 1.51) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.98) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.41) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.77% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 1.1) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.88) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.92) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( -1.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.62) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.66) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |