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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
36.77% ( 2.28) | 27.12% ( 0.24) | 36.11% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.13% ( -0.84) | 54.86% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.84% ( -0.7) | 76.16% ( 0.7) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( 0.99) | 28.72% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( 1.22) | 64.55% ( -1.22) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -1.88) | 29.12% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( -2.38) | 65.05% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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