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Walsall
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Salford City

Rochdale
1 - 0
Salford City

Henderson (80')
Odoh (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Salford City

Rochdale will be looking to get one over Salford City following their penalty shootout defeat in October's EFL Trophy clash. However, the Dale have suffered a drop-off in recent weeks, losing four of their last five outings. We predict that Salford will maintain their fine away form and come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawSalford City
36.77% (2.28 2.28) 27.12% (0.236 0.24) 36.11% (-2.517 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.838 -0.84)54.86% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (-0.698 -0.7)76.16% (0.697 0.7)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.99499999999999 0.99)28.72% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.224 1.22)64.55% (-1.225 -1.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-1.881 -1.88)29.12% (1.88 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-2.383 -2.38)65.05% (2.381 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 36.76%
    Salford City 36.1%
    Draw 27.12%
RochdaleDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.607 0.61)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.548 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.204 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.365 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Salford City

Rochdale
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Salford City
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Rochdale
2-2
Salford City
Salford City win 4-2 on penalties
Henderson (42'), Kelly (90+4')
Simoes (69'), Hendry (71')
Simoes (84')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Rochdale
1-2
Salford City
Beesley (8')
Rathbone (80'), (90+6')
Andrade (53'), Dieseruvwe (82' pen.)
(57'), Burgess (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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