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AFC Wimbledon
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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
MK Dons

Salford City
2 - 4
MK Dons

N'Mai (36'), Watson (45+2' pen.)
Lund (33'), Wood (34'), Mariappa (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dean (10'), Tomlinson (50', 72'), Harrison (88')
Williams (67'), Tomlinson (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMK Dons
31.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 23.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 44.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.012 0.01)39.92% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01)62.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.09% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 31.64%
    MK Dons 44.84%
    Draw 23.52%
Salford CityDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 44.84%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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