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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Salford City

Wrexham
3 - 2
Salford City

Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-3 Stockport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City

There is still an awful lot of football to be played this season, but this feels like a very big football match for a number of reasons. Salford will be looking to flex their muscles, but Wrexham are in a good place at the moment, and we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawSalford City
56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.050999999999995 0.05)58.31% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Salford City 22.13%
    Draw 21.07%
WrexhamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Salford City

Wrexham
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Salford City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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