League Two | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County
Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL.
Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64% . A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%) . The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.
Result Salford City Draw Stockport County 36.64% ( -0) 26.85% ( 0) 36.5% ( -0)
Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.01)
46.24% ( -0.01) 53.76% ( 0.01)
24.76% ( -0.01) 75.24% ( 0.01)
71.74% ( -0) 28.26% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.02% ( -0) 63.98% ( 0.01)
71.65% ( -0) 28.35% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.92% ( -0.01) 64.08% ( 0.01)
Salford City 36.64%
Stockport County 36.5%
Draw 26.85%
Salford City Draw Stockport County 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.64% 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.08% Other @ 1% Total : 26.85% 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.5%
How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport
Salford City
Draw
Stockport County
20
rhs 2.0
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