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Salford City
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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Stockport County

Salford City
1 - 0
Stockport

Smith (17')
Watt (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL. Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
36.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)75.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 36.64%
    Stockport County 36.5%
    Draw 26.85%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport

Salford City
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Stockport County
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815


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