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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Stockport County

Salford City
1 - 0
Stockport

Smith (17')
Watt (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL. Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
36.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)75.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 36.64%
    Stockport County 36.5%
    Draw 26.85%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport

Salford City
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Stockport County
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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