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Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Salford City

Stockport
1 - 1
Salford City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Hendry (51')
Mallan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 Salford City

So much is at stake for both sides in the race for promotion, but they are very evenly-matched, and so we expect they will have to settle for a draw on Friday night. Salford have been very good away from home all season, but Stockport are League Two's form side, and they have not lost a league game at Edgeley Park since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
49.72% (0.52 0.52) 24.8% (-0.1 -0.1) 25.48% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.092999999999996 0.09)49.48% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)71.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.253 0.25)19.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.406 0.41)52.06% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)33.91% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.322 -0.32)70.58% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.72%
    Salford City 25.48%
    Draw 24.79%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.72%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Stockport vs Salford City

Stockport County
50.0%
Draw
18.8%
Salford City
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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