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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Salford City

Stockport
1 - 1
Salford City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Hendry (51')
Mallan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 Salford City

So much is at stake for both sides in the race for promotion, but they are very evenly-matched, and so we expect they will have to settle for a draw on Friday night. Salford have been very good away from home all season, but Stockport are League Two's form side, and they have not lost a league game at Edgeley Park since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
49.72% (0.52 0.52) 24.8% (-0.1 -0.1) 25.48% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.092999999999996 0.09)49.48% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)71.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.253 0.25)19.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.406 0.41)52.06% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)33.91% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.322 -0.32)70.58% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.72%
    Salford City 25.48%
    Draw 24.79%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.72%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Stockport vs Salford City

Stockport County
50.0%
Draw
18.8%
Salford City
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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