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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
48.38% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.15% ( -0.01) | 52.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.53% ( -0.01) | 74.47% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% ( -0.01) | 21.86% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.91% ( -0.02) | 55.09% ( 0.02) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( 0) | 35.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( -0) | 72.13% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |