Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.