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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Accrington Stanley

Swindon
1 - 2
Accrington

Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
54.16% (-0.186 -0.19) 22.04% (0.061 0.06) 23.8% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19% (-0.138 -0.14)38.8% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88% (-0.145 -0.15)61.11% (0.147 0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.208 -0.21)42.22% (0.209 0.21)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.16%
    Accrington Stanley 23.8%
    Draw 22.03%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Swindon vs Accrington

Swindon Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
Feb 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Kee (25' pen.), Jackson (62')
Clark (48'), McConville (75'), Kee (90')
Richards (71' pen.)
Dunne (46'), Purkiss (49'), Lancashire (66'), Banks (78')
Gordon (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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