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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Harrogate Town
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Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Accrington Stanley

Wrexham
4 - 0
Accrington

Mullin (17', 25', 35'), Lee (41')
McClean (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Woods (47')
Shipley (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Accrington Stanley

Both teams head into this fixture in rather shaky form, but given Wrexham's impressive record at the Racecourse Ground this season, with no team taking more points at home than Wrexham so far this campaign, we expect them to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
61.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 20.12% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)37.74% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.055 -0.05)59.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)11.76% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)36.93% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)34.26% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)70.95% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 61.8%
    Accrington Stanley 18.07%
    Draw 20.12%
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 61.8%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Accrington

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Accrington
2-0
Wrexham
Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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