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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
5 - 3
Sutton

Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-0 Sutton United

 Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.64%
    Sutton United 28.39%
    Draw 24.96%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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