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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Sutton United

Swindon
5 - 3
Sutton

Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-0 Sutton United

 Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.64%
    Sutton United 28.39%
    Draw 24.96%
Swindon TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Sutton

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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