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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Swindon Town

Wrexham
5 - 5
Swindon

Bickerstaff (29'), Lee (51' pen., 90+6'), Jones (55', 90+2')
Boyle (76')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (17', 34'), Austin (27'), Kemp (31', 71')
Brewitt (20'), Kemp (56'), Blake-Tracy (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-2 Swindon Town

 An entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action is expected between these two sides on Saturday and both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. However, we believe that Wrexham will follow up their midweek home triumph with another success in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
44.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 23.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.012 -0.01)41.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.012 -0.01)63.78% (0.012 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.04%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.43%
    Swindon Town 31.73%
    Draw 23.83%
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Swindon

Wrexham
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Wrexham
Zaaboub (9'), Roberts (71' pen.)
Weston (55')
Williams (8')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Sep 9, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Valentine (68' pen.), Jones (69')
Williams (27'), Roche (34')
Evans (28')
Brown (58'), Brezovan (69'), Peacock (79')
Mar 19, 2005 3pm
Swindon
4-2
Wrexham
Smith (80'), Parkin (40', 76', 90' pen.)
Sam (32'), Ugarte (16')
Llewellyn (84')
Aug 7, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Lawrence (24'), Armstrong (73' pen.)
Holt (66'), Ferguson (89')

Gurney (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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