Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.36% ( 1.02) | 23.77% ( -0.41) | 19.86% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% ( 0.84) | 51.03% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 0.74) | 72.9% ( -0.74) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( 0.7) | 17.93% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( 1.18) | 48.75% ( -1.19) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.89% ( -0.18) | 40.1% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.25% ( -0.16) | 76.74% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |